Brexit – What is the “Best Deal?”
Am I the only one in the United Kingdom who keeps asking themselves every time they hear the Government, and to be fair the main opposition say “we will” or “we need” to secure the best deal for the “blah, blah , blah” UK sector –
What do they even mean by the “best deal”?
Theresa May and her band of ultra- Brexiteers keep stating it without in any way explaining what it means.
And now that Article 50 has been triggered and they have called a General Election they are ‘pledging’ to get the best deal!!!
But will they?
If we look at just one sector, that of agriculture, the Conservatives pledge that they will get the ‘best deal’ for UK farmers and food producers not only in Europe but across the whole world.
A pledge by the waybeing a solemn promise or undertaking.
Think about that for a moment, the Government has made a solemn promise and undertaking that post Brexit they will get the ‘best deal’, not a ‘good deal’ but the ‘best deal’ for all of the different sectors of the economy.
I can understand why they have said that when you consider for example that in agriculture the National Farmers Union, Food & Drink Federation and the British Retail Consortium called on Theresa May to make sure that trade with the EU remains tariff free.
The problem is of course that we already know the UK will be out of the single market and that the Government have accepted this is going to happen, unless of course they do a U-Turn on the issue of free movement of people, which given the internal problems within the Conservative party is highly unlikely.
And even increasingly improbable since Theresa May has accused the remaining 27 countries of ‘ganging up on us.’
What the bloody hell did she expect them to do?
If following negotiations we fail to reach an agreement with the EU then the default position is to fall back into the auspices of the World Trade Organisations and ‘tariffs’
In reality we are already seeing an increase in food prices and the resulting impact on inflation in the economy.
So where does that leave the Government who through David Davies at the dispatch box in the House of Common promised, in fact gave a “binding” commitment that Brexit would mean a business -as- usual deal?
How can they say that when any deal, especially a tariff free deal outside of the established EU single market would need the agreement of the remaining 27 members?
And how an earth is that even a deliverable pledge to get the best deal for farmers and the food and drink industry?
It all depend of course on what you consider to be the ‘best deal’ and without knowing the negotiating parameters any deal could and will inevitably be politically spun as being the ‘best deal’ and any perceived argument against will be blamed on the EU.
But did anyone notice the wording of the Government spokesman’s statement on pledging to negotiate a bold and ambitious free trade agreement with the EU?
What the Government said was that it was planning to negotiate an agreement that would allow the freest ‘possible’ trade in goods and services.
In effect admitting that trade with the EU post Brexit would not be possible without some measure of control over the UK trade by the EU – only the freest ‘possible’
So where does that leave the pledge and promises by the Brexiteers and Government that exiting the EU would enable us to take back total control releasing us from the yoke of the EU and leaving us able to act as we wish?
Does anyone really believe the EU are going to agree to let the UK have tariff free trade access to their markets once it has left the club?
Why wouldn’t the remaining 27 countries see the UK exit as an opportunity to expand their own trade within the community taking over those trade contracts currently existing between the UK and EU.
Whether we like it or not that is exactly what they will be looking at and who could blame them?
The food and drink industry both manufacture and retailers along with the farming industry have trade agreements with the EU worth over £110 billion a year to the UK.
If faced with tariffs and custom control of goods that’s £110 billion worth of trade that any sensible Government, and there are 27 remaining EU members so take you pick, will see it as an opportunity for their own sectors to bid for.
The result of which will have a major impact on employment within the industries in the UK who currently employs almost 4 million people.
This is only one sector of the U.K. Economy but the same principles have to be applied across all of the sectors who have long standing trade agreements with the EU.
It is going to be a bloody divorce and the promise that they will secure preferential trade agreements for UK traders and businesses is as hollow and meaningless as the pledge to “secure the best deal”
Who wants to take a bet that they will even go as far as spinning it as a “Great Deal”?
What they won’t tell us is that the “best deal” was and is to stay in the single market.